Lucintel是复合材料领域专门从事管理咨询和市场调研的公司。目前,该公司对碳纤维市场做了分析并发布了一篇题目为“2009年-2014年碳纤维市场的增长机会”的报告。

    现在的碳纤维市场

    20世界60年代,碳纤维开始在商业产品中得以应用。最初主要是用于航空航天行业。在那个年代,碳纤维是非常昂贵的,每磅大约为150美元。从那时起,越来越多的商业用品开始采用碳纤维作为原材料,与之相随,碳纤维的价格也有所下降,变为现在的每磅5美元。

    目前以碳纤维为原料且比较流行的产品包括:商用飞机(50%的结构用到了碳纤维)、娱乐产品(50%的高尔夫球杆及钓鱼竿都使用了碳纤维)及工业。在过去的四到五年间,碳纤维市场发生了一些具有历史意义的事件。2005至2006年间,碳纤维处于紧缺状态,但由于全球经济危机的原因,毫不夸张得说这一状况又发生了180度的大转弯。

碳纤维在各应用领域的发展趋势

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

碳纤维在各应用领域的发展趋势

    碳纤维供应商注意到市场需求正在滑坡,于是便悄悄的离开了碳纤维市场。由于这一原因,供货商所提供的货物便开始堆积。

    碳纤维市场未来的增长趋势

    Lucintel预测2014年碳纤维市场的销售额会达到24亿美元,从去年开始,碳纤维市场已经经历了最佳和最差的市场境遇。即使是在需求最低的时候,他们仍希望碳纤维市场的增长率能达到9.8%,尽管这种需求是由实际应用所决定的。预计一些应用领域会出现负增长,同时其它一些应用产品最高能到达29%的增长。

    在Lucintel发布的报告中,我们看到一些有趣的信息。

    各种碳纤维性能和价格的比较。其中包括目前及未来航空领域碳纤维的价格以及非航空领域碳纤维的价格。

    对全球碳纤维市场的分析,重点是纤维的母体材料。并对聚丙烯腈基碳纤维和树脂基碳纤维市场做了估测。
 区域市场分析。对北美,欧洲,世界上其它国家,以及这些国家的不同地区碳纤维货物及产品做了分析。

    碳纤维在各种市场及应用领域的应用。碳纤维在工业市场中的应用包括CNG坦克、运输工具、航海、建筑及风机叶片等;碳纤维在航空航天市场中的应用包括支线飞机、通用航空、商用航空、国防、太空以及直升飞机;运动器材市场上碳纤维的应用包括高尔夫球杆、球拍、滑雪板和侧雪板、钓鱼竿等。到2014年,碳纤维在这些市场中的销售额会增加到190亿美元。

    2003年至2008年碳纤维市场的总体趋势,以及不同产品种类的趋势(如:聚丙烯腈基碳纤维和树脂基碳纤维)

    对各细分市场及这些细分市场中的应用在2009至2014年间的发展做了预测。

    聚丙烯腈基碳纤维和树脂基碳纤维的加工工艺

    Lucintel, a company that provides management consulting and market research in the composites fields has analyzed the carbon fiber market and published a research report entitled “Growth Opportunities in the Carbon Fiber Market 2009-2014.” 

    The Carbon Fiber Market Through Today

    Carbon fiber began to to be used in commercial production in the 1960’s mainly for the aerospace industry.  At the time the price per pound was extremely expensive ($150/lb).  From that point on we’ve seen more commercial applications use the material, while the cost has dropped down to the $5/lb range.
Popular applications today include commercial aircrafts (up to 50% of the structure uses carbon fiber), recreational (50% penetration in golf and fishing pole as units), and industrial.  There is some important history that has occurred over the last 4-5 years in the carbon fiber market.  During 2005-2006 there was a carbon fiber shortage, but that has literally done a 180 due to the global economic recession.

    Carbon fiber suppliers have noticed a dip in demand, and has noticeably slipped in just the past six months.  Due to this, the supply from suppliers has started to stockpile。

    Future Growth

    Lucintel is estimating that the carbon fiber market will reach $2.4 billion in 2014, and they have identified the best and worst performing markets from last year.  Even with the lower demand, they still expect that the carbon fiber market will grow 9.8%, although it depends on the exact application.  Some applications were estimated to have negative growth, while others were seen to have as high as 29% growth.

    We have not read the report, nor do we profit in any way from sales of the report, we simply thought the press release done by Lucintel had some interesting info. They list the report to have the following benefits:
 Properties and price comparison of various kinds of carbon fiber. Current and future price ($ / lb) in aero and non-aero grade carbon fiber.

    Global carbon fiber market analysis with special emphasis on precursor. Market estimates for PAN based, Pitchbased carbon fiber.

    Regional market analyses. Carbon fiber shipments and production in North America, Europe and Rest of World and as well as in various countries in above regions.

    Carbon fiber shipments in various markets and applications. Applications include CNG tank, transportation, marine, infrastructure, wind blade etc. in the industrial market; regional jet, general aviation, commercial aviation, defense, space, and helicopter in the aerospace market; golf, racket, skis and snowboard, fishing pole and others in the sporting goods market. The market for these is slated to grow to $19 billion by 2014.

    Trends (2003-2008) for the overall carbon fiber market and for its categories such as PAN based and pitch based carbon fiber.

    Forecasts (2009-2014) for various market segment and applications in these segments.

    Manufacturing processes for PAN and pitch based carbon fiber.

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